With the first module, you understood the need of uncertainty quantification. You saw how verbal uncertainties can lead to ambiguities and subjective assessments.

You then had an introduction to the topic of expert judgment and saw how important uncertainty quantification is also when assessing experts’ uncertainties for questions of interest. Several examples of applications have been presented to you and now you know when it is appropriate and when it is not appropriate to use SEJ.

Like Roger Cooke is saying “The choice is not whether to use expert judgment, but rather to do it well or do it badly”.

We hope you enjoyed this introduction to SEJ. Let’s consider how to do it well, in more detail, in Module 2!