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Home Courses Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment Course materials Readings 5.1.1 What to expect from this module?

5.1.1 What to expect from this module?

Course subject(s) Module 5. Biases and the IDEA protocol

Lottery Ticket

Suppose you want to buy a lottery ticket and go to the counter.


 

 

 

 

 

 

“[326/365] Lottery Money” by Lisa Brewster is licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0

You have two options:

A. You can choose to buy a lottery ticket that is already filled in
B. You can fill in the ticket yourself

  • What would you do?

Driving Skills

  • Do you consider yourself an above average driver?

Sharks

  • What is the average number of shark attacks per year in Australia, as measured since 1988 until 2018?
  • Since 2017, there have been recorded 1406 shark attacks in the U.S.A. How many shark attacks have been reported in Australia?

You are probably intrigued by these questions!

You will see how this is connected to this MOOC during this module. You will also learn about another SEJ method, that is the IDEA protocol.

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.
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