Important announcement

Dear visitor,

Please note that this OpenCourseWare platform will be replaced at the end of 2026 by a new platform (under the same url ocw.tudelft.nl).

Courses and their contents that are currently available the platform will partly be migrated. URL’s for this content will change and content might be unavailable for some time. In addition, some courses will not be available anymore.

If you are linking to specific courses on this platform (for instance for your students), please take timely measures to avoid problems with access. Possible actions are:

  • Download the materials to your local platform (laptop, server)
  • For educators only (including TU Delft lecturers): Contact us at ocw@tudelft.nl and inform us what course you are using in what context (institute, program, period of use, number of students). We will research (in collaboration with the authors of the course) and decide if we will migrate the course, and if yes, can supply you with a new url.

Thank you.

5.4.2 Learn more

Course subject(s) Module 5. Biases and the IDEA protocol

During this module you have learned about the cognitive biases and about the IDEA protocol.

Studying biases is an enormous field. You can find  some relevant references below. You can also find some nice references to the IDEA protocol.


“reading” by Terry Freedman is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0

Heuristics and biases

  • Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
  • Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Macmillan.
  • The Illusion of Control, by Ellen Langer.
  • Henslin, J. M. (1967). Craps and magic. American Journal of sociology, 73(3), 316-330.
  • along with many many many online references to the subject; see, e.g., this one.

IDEA protocol

  • Hemming, V., Burgman, M. A., Hanea, A. M., McBride, M. F., & Wintle, B. C. (2018). A practical guide to structured expert elicitation using the IDEA protocol. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 9(1), 169-180.
  • Hanea, A. M., McBride, M. F., Burgman, M. A., & Wintle, B. C. (2018). Classical meets modern in the IDEA protocol for structured expert judgement. Journal of Risk Research, 21(4), 417-433.

Interested in learning more about other biases? Or want to test your biases?

You can check this biases tests or these one.

Creative Commons License
Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.
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