1.2.1 The need for uncertainty quantification
In the video below, you will find out more about the stringent need for uncertainty quantification in the climate change setting. Also, you will meet Roger Cooke, the founder of the method you will learn during the 6 weeks, which is referred to as the Classical Model.
The confidence trap
Slide 1: Copyright Photo 123RF
Slide 4: Image(s) used under license from Shutterstock.com
Slide 6: Image(s) used under license from Shutterstock.com, and Photo 123RF
Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.