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Home Courses Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment Course materials Lectures 1.2.1 The need for uncertainty quantification

1.2.1 The need for uncertainty quantification

Course subject(s) Module 1. When and how to use SEJ?

In the video below, you will find out more about the stringent need for uncertainty quantification in the climate change setting. Also, you will meet Roger Cooke, the founder of the method you will learn during the 6 weeks, which is referred to as the Classical Model.

The confidence trap

Slide 1:             Copyright Photo 123RF   

Slide 2:             Gloves by Climate red team is CC BY-SA 4.0 licensed, and

Portrait of Under-Secretary for Science Steven E. Koonin, is PD US DOE

Slide 3:             Colorado Rapids (bottom) vs FC Dallas (top) by Twwalter is CC BY-SA 3.0 licensed

Slide 4:             Image(s) used under license from Shutterstock.com

Slide 6:             Image(s) used under license from Shutterstock.com, and Photo 123RF 

Slide 11:           “Crashed Plane” by samirH is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 4.0

Slide 12:           “Jie Zhang – Clean and Jerk” by Peter J Dean is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0  

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.
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