3.9.1 More on removing experts

Course subject(s) Module 3. Performance-based weights and the Decision Maker

Here is again the example about the correlation between intelligence in primary school children and other personality traits and success in several aspects of life. The experts assessments are provided below.

Question Realization Expert A

5% 50% 95%

Expert B

5% 50% 95%

Expert C

5% 50% 95%

1 24 2 5 7 20 23 34 20 25 28
2 11 12 13 15 8 10 11 10 13 15
3 68 87 89 92 60 70 90 65 67 70
4 47 2  5  8 20 35 45 42 44 46
5 31 48  50  52 30 35 40 32 33 35

Let’s consider the effect of removing experts in more detail.

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Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.
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