Important announcement

Dear visitor,

Please note that this OpenCourseWare platform will be replaced at the end of 2026 by a new platform (under the same url ocw.tudelft.nl).

Courses and their contents that are currently available the platform will partly be migrated. URL’s for this content will change and content might be unavailable for some time. In addition, some courses will not be available anymore.

If you are linking to specific courses on this platform (for instance for your students), please take timely measures to avoid problems with access. Possible actions are:

  • Download the materials to your local platform (laptop, server)
  • For educators only (including TU Delft lecturers): Contact us at ocw@tudelft.nl and inform us what course you are using in what context (institute, program, period of use, number of students). We will research (in collaboration with the authors of the course) and decide if we will migrate the course, and if yes, can supply you with a new url.

Thank you.

2.4.3 Calibration score and accuracy

Course subject(s) Module 2. Calibration and Information score

The word calibration might have lead you to think of “calibration of measuring instruments”. The calibration of a measuring instrument checks the accuracy of the instrument. The term accuracy is used to refer to the closeness of a measurement to a specific value.


“Measurement” by William A. Clark is licensed under CC BY-NC-SA 2.0

Now, you might wonder if there is, in fact, any difference between accuracy and statistical accuracy (or calibration score)?

The next example will clarify this aspect!

Expert 5 assessments seem more accurate, that is, the medians are closer to the true value.

But does that mean that Expert 5 is also more statistically accurate?

Creative Commons License
Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Introduction to Structured Expert Judgment by TU Delft OpenCourseWare is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://online-learning.tudelft.nl/courses/decision-making-under-uncertainty-introduction-to-structured-expert-judgment//.
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